New York real estate vs Miami real estate since 2016

straight answer

39% × 113%

Updated May 1, 2026 · Redfin

Since 2016, New York real estate returned 39% and Miami real estate returned 113%, in U.S. dollars. Miami real estate won the period — but with different risk: the worst drop was 46% (New York real estate) vs 14% (Miami real estate).

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Base 100 since 2016

0601211812412016201820202021202320252026New YorkMiami
Each line starts at 100 in 2016; values in U.S. dollars.

Why compare New York home prices (US$/m²) and Miami home prices (US$/m²)

New York versus Miami is the classic Northeast-to-Sun-Belt question, and the pandemic migration of money and people from one to the other made it a live debate. Both lines are home prices per square foot from Redfin sold listings, so this is a pure price-appreciation comparison, not a verdict on which is the better investment: it excludes rent, leverage, property taxes and maintenance in both cities. The durable pattern is that New York is the more expensive, slower-moving market, while Miami runs in sharper boom-and-bust cycles driven by domestic and overseas inflows. Their relative lead shifts with each migration wave and rate cycle. This is not investment advice.

Returns by window

WindowNew York home prices (US$/m²)Miami home prices (US$/m²)
1 year -2% -3%
5 years 1% 46%
10 years 23% 100%
since 2016 39% 113%
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The price of return: risk

AssetAnnual volatilityWorst drop
New York real estate 28% -46%
Miami real estate 15% -14%

$10,000 in each, since 2016

AssetValue today
New York real estate $13,914
Miami real estate $21,286

Frequently asked questions

New York real estate or Miami real estate: which returned more?

Since 2016, Miami real estate returned more in U.S. dollars. Over shorter windows the lead can change — see the per-window table on the page.

Does a higher return mean a better investment?

Not on its own — risk matters. The page shows the volatility and the largest drop of each; similar returns can hide very different rides.

Are these figures in real terms?

No — these are nominal returns in U.S. dollars. To see real (inflation-adjusted) gains, compare each one against U.S. inflation (CPI).

Keep exploring

U.S. inflation

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Descriptive, educational content computed from official public data. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.